Champions League table: Where every side are most likely to finish

The new-look Champions League heads into the final round of group-stage fixtures this evening with everything still to play for. Here’s what each of the British teams need to do to reach the next round. You can also follow live coverage from across Europe in our live blog.

Manchester City

Pep Guardiola always expected Manchester City’s attempt to avoid Champions League “relegation” to go to the final game – and they need a win against Club Brugge to stay in the competition.

Defeat at Paris St-Germain, despite going 2-0 up through Jack Grealish and Erling Haaland, means they dropped to 25th place in the table. If they finish there, they will be eliminated.

The good news for Guardiola’s team is that victory against Brugge on Wednesday will take them to 11 points and will almost certainly be enough to secure them a play-off spot – as they will leapfrog the Belgians – to reach the knockout stages of this season’s competition.

Data company Opta Analysts ran a simulation of the new “Swiss Model” format and in 99 per cent of tests 10 points is enough to secure a play-off place, which sees the teams finishing between ninth and 24th battling to reach the next round. Other results this week mean a draw against Brugge will now not be enough for City to progress.

Liverpool

Uefa changed the format of the competition this season with teams playing eight games in the group stage and getting ranked between one and 36. The top eight go straight through to the last 16, with Liverpool already securing their place after defeating Lille in their penultimate match ot the league stage of the tournament.

Arsenal

Arsenal are virtually assured of a top-eight place after their win over Dinamo Zagreb last week.

Aston Villa

Villa are guaranteed a play-off place and should seal a top-eight slot if they beat Celtic at Villa Park.

Celtic

The Scots assured themselves of a play-off spot after beating Young Boys 1-0. Who would have thought they would be seven places above City?

Current standings and chances of progressing

What are the final round of fixtures?

How to watch the Champions League tonight

All tonight’s matches are being shown on TNT Sports. Every game kicks off at 8pm. Here’s the full channel listing

• TNT Sports 1 - Aston Villa vs Celtic LIVE

• TNT Sports 2 - Man City vs Brugge LIVE

• TNT Sports 3 - PSV vs Liverpool

• TNT Sports 4 - Girona vs Arsenal

• TNT Sports 5 - Goals Show Extra

• TNT Sports 6 - Brest vs Real Madrid

• TNT Sports 7 - Bayern Munich vs Slovan Bratislava

• TNT Sports 8 - Stuttgart v PSG

• TNT Sports 9 - Inter vs Monaco

• TNT Sports 10 - Barcelona vs Atalanta

• Discovery+ - Bayer Leverkusen vs Sparta Prague, Borussia Dortmund vs Shakhtar Donetsk, Dinamo Zagreb vs AC Milan, Inter Milan vs Monaco, Juventus vs Benfica, Lille vs Feyenoord; Red Bull Salzburg vs Atletico Madrid; Sporting Lisbon vs Bologna; Sturm Graz v RB Leipzig; Young Boys vs Red Star Belgrade

When is the playoff draw?

The play-off draw will be held on Friday, January 31 in Nyon. The teams finishing ninth to 16th will be seeded, and will be drawn against the unseeded teams finishing 17th to 24th. For instance, ninth and 10th will be drawn to play either 23rd or 24th.

Teams can be drawn against another from the same country or an opponent they faced during the league phase.

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